PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

twizzy88

0xf781f0019356a8e1dc605fd212a342410a769514

Realised P&L
$-700.04
Volume
$41.0k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$12.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? · Yes0.4920.061$12.38−$87.62
Solana Up or Down - August 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00−$144.15
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B · Legacy0.3800.000$0.00−$40.00
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2560.000$0.00−$50.00
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00−$150.00
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00−$55.00
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner · Astralis0.1200.000$0.00−$25.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00−$200.00
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$35.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · No0.4770.000$0.00−$75.00
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$25.00
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3410.000$0.00−$246.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs · FURIA0.3700.000$0.00−$70.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? · Yes0.4950.000$0.00−$67.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Up0.0020.000$0.00−$9.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:14Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.0010183207$0.56
09-21 09:13Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.998$356.43
09-21 09:12Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.0034102623$1.93
09-20 18:47Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3233118156$31.34
09-20 18:43Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.2559433698$50.00
09-20 18:37Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2975312971$75.00
09-20 18:37Will Kendrick Lamar be featured on GTA VI: The Album?SELL0.2818197004$52.30
09-20 18:37Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album?SELL0.2828689719$36.89
09-20 18:36Will Playboi Carti be featured on GTA VI: The Album?SELL0.3070748146$68.34
09-20 18:10Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.0072933139$7.14
09-20 14:16Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0493086921$6.00
09-20 14:15Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.1118881119$20.00
09-20 14:15Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.0579999999$20.00
09-20 14:06Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1588021778$50.00
09-20 14:06Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0438106813$50.00