twizzy88
0xf781f0019356a8e1dc605fd212a342410a769514
- Realised P&L
- $-700.04
- Volume
- $41.0k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $12.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.66at 0.616Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
- +$271.43at 0.651Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
- +$106.43at 0.700Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$103.25at 0.505Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$59.73at 0.177Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:14 | Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.0010183207 | $0.56 |
| 09-21 09:13 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $356.43 |
| 09-21 09:12 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0034102623 | $1.93 |
| 09-20 18:47 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3233118156 | $31.34 |
| 09-20 18:43 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.2559433698 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 18:37 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2975312971 | $75.00 |
| 09-20 18:37 | Will Kendrick Lamar be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | SELL | 0.2818197004 | $52.30 |
| 09-20 18:37 | Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | SELL | 0.2828689719 | $36.89 |
| 09-20 18:36 | Will Playboi Carti be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | SELL | 0.3070748146 | $68.34 |
| 09-20 18:10 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0072933139 | $7.14 |
| 09-20 14:16 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0493086921 | $6.00 |
| 09-20 14:15 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.1118881119 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 14:15 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0579999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 14:06 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1588021778 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 14:06 | Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0438106813 | $50.00 |