0xf77e746b2d8a60453969d55ab32d1669ba64a981
0xf77e746b2d8a60453969d55ab32d1669ba64a981
- Realised P&L
- $25.27
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $24.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.995 | $9.95 | +$4.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.093 | $6.54 | +$1.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.100 | $3.49 | +$1.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.385 | $3.08 | +$0.84 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.130 | $1.30 | −$0.30 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.005 | $0.06 | −$0.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.003 | $0.05 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.77at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 12?
- +$8.05at 0.190Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 18?
- +$4.33at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?
- +$4.00at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20?
- +$2.35at 0.904Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 10-20 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.02425 | $0.97 |
| 10-20 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.056 | $0.29 |
| 10-20 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.056 | $1.68 |
| 10-20 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.056 | $0.28 |
| 10-20 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-19 21:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-19 20:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 10-19 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 10-19 10:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.24 |
| 10-19 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-19 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |