Crius
0xf77d37bf56f7b8828dd4ea0677d0f76e97fcadbd
- Realised P&L
- $-260.55
- Volume
- $745.3k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $2.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.69at 0.130World Championships: Norway vs. Sweden
- +$1.78at 0.360Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
- +$1.74at 0.370Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24?
- +$1.50at 0.430Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 07:51 | Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.32 |
| 05-27 02:22 | Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.01025 | $0.41 |
| 05-27 02:20 | XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.34 |
| 05-27 02:19 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.94 |
| 05-26 04:47 | Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.87 |
| 05-26 04:46 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 04:46 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.54 | $0.68 |
| 05-26 04:46 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $0.92 |
| 05-25 19:48 | Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 19:48 | Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.779999865 | $1.04 |
| 05-25 19:48 | Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | BUY | 0.4199998032 | $1.11 |
| 05-25 19:47 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 19:46 | XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0719999429 | $1.12 |
| 05-25 19:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.43 |
| 05-25 19:46 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | SELL | 0.91 | $1.37 |