nsavo
0xf75d288798560463c44aa938e80a8dda750029fb
- Realised P&L
- $-87.95
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $15.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jeff Knoll win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.111 | $15.85 | +$2.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.82 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.79at 0.195UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$21.91at 0.188UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
- +$11.90at 0.476Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$7.19at 0.496Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
- +$6.22at 0.319Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 22:26 | Will Jeff Knoll win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1489999961 | $3.97 |
| 09-20 22:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.34 |
| 09-20 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 20:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | BUY | 0.00890331 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 18:27 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 15:08 | Will Jeff Knoll win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1289999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 02:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.5199999709 | $7.14 |
| 08-29 15:26 | Will Jeff Knoll win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0527188248 | $4.08 |
| 06-07 04:25 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | SELL | 0.999 | $14.30 |
| 06-07 04:02 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.4889999788 | $7.00 |
| 05-10 04:49 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $29.54 |
| 05-10 04:11 | UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves? | SELL | 0.99 | $27.04 |
| 05-09 21:25 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8199998497 | $3.82 |
| 05-09 21:24 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.189999975 | $5.62 |