PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

TESTENAOMEXA

0xf75ce947eef753f0d7c65edcede8c45346ff0387

Realised P&L
$83.17
Volume
$115.8k
Markets traded
1,042
Open portfolio
$27.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,042
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5840.848$21.78+$6.78
Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil? · No0.9800.978$4.89−$0.01
Megaquake by September 30? · No0.5000.500$0.50+$0.00
Megaquake by September 30? · Yes0.5000.500$0.50+$0.00
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$14.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? · No0.5530.000$0.00−$55.80
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$6.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5? · No0.0480.000$0.00−$8.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Down0.3140.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28? · No0.0620.000$0.00−$3.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET · Up0.0880.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 23:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0116593407$1.06
10-04 22:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.008$2.00
10-03 17:51Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?BUY0.0643564337$1.00
10-03 17:50Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?BUY0.2799999978$5.00
10-03 17:50Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?BUY0.1699999983$3.00
10-03 17:47Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5839999888$15.00
10-02 12:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-02 12:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-02 01:20Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5599999851$15.00
10-02 01:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7299999942$30.00
09-21 21:50Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?SELL0.6$12.88
09-20 01:47Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?SELL0.4741052632$11.26
09-20 01:46Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?SELL0.59$10.76
09-12 03:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-12 03:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.469999906$1.00