p-trader-2026
0xf75991542e0adca9237608ba56f04c74668d0221
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $72.5k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $15.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.515 | 0.535 | $10.70 | +$0.40 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.460 | 0.465 | $4.65 | +$0.05 |
| Eagles vs. Jaguars · Eagles | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
| Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Alejandro Moro Canas | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.007Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
- +$366.15at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?
- +$327.27at 0.550Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
- +$119.18at 0.440Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
- +$94.71at 0.301Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 12:11 | Will BP be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.15 |
| 09-07 12:11 | Will "The Pitt" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.0038823529 | $0.13 |
| 09-07 12:11 | Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.3798588235 | $12.92 |
| 09-07 12:11 | Will "The Pitt" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.61 |
| 09-07 12:11 | Will "The Pitt" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.0012794576 | $0.28 |
| 09-07 12:11 | Will "The Pitt" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.0362341176 | $1.23 |
| 09-07 12:10 | Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.54 | $18.36 |
| 08-18 15:49 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-10 19:56 | Will "The Pitt" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.0064573589 | $1.19 |
| 08-01 15:19 | Will "The Pitt" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.42 |
| 08-01 15:19 | Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.22 | $7.48 |
| 08-01 15:19 | Will "The Pitt" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.108 | $3.67 |
| 08-01 15:19 | Will "The Pitt" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.42 |
| 08-01 15:19 | Will "The Pitt" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.10 |
| 08-01 15:19 | Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.10 |