PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf7572b7ee9c061349b58c0dd548fa096fa7c2489

Realised P&L
$3.72
Volume
$64.08
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$3.93

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.4300.425$0.99$0.01
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.6700.645$0.96$0.04
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.2500.230$0.92$0.08
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.6700.530$0.79$0.21
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $156 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.2400.065$0.27$0.73
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.6900.001$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:03Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-15 23:40Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-14 13:20Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
09-14 05:14Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $156 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-13 21:13Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-10 09:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-10 09:32US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-10 01:30SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-09 03:00Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-08 13:01LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.77$1.00
09-08 04:11Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-07 07:57US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-02 20:45US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-01 11:35Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-23 23:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.4899998285$1.00