0xf7572b7ee9c061349b58c0dd548fa096fa7c2489
- Realised P&L
- $3.72
- Volume
- $64.08
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $3.93
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.425 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.645 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.230 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.530 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $156 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.065 | $0.27 | −$0.73 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.690 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.54at 0.288Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.30at 0.440SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:03 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:40 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:20 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:14 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $156 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 09:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 09:32 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 01:30 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 03:00 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:01 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 04:11 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 07:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 20:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 11:35 | Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 23:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |