PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf754f72Fe80C3Cc7594dB8C38b60060aFe8D5C91-1769017936674

0xf754f72fe80c3cc7594db8c38b60060afe8d5c91

Realised P&L
$-256.68
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$10.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tusk out by December 31? · Yes0.0900.080$10.14−$1.27
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$2.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00−$43.80
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.4230.000$0.00−$210.49
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00−$7.70
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$3.00
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes0.2410.000$0.00−$59.88
Bill Clinton charged by March 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$3.00
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 09:08Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.0899999998$11.41
10-31 09:06Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.14$11.41
03-15 21:04Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.68$55.44
03-15 21:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.38$55.38
03-04 06:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.4$58.30
03-01 07:21Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.52$126.41
03-01 07:20Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.998$126.42
03-01 05:30Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.5$1.56
03-01 04:53Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?SELL0.007$1.11
02-28 16:44Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?SELL0.0151636983$2.89
02-28 10:14Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?BUY0.14$1.53
02-28 10:12Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.265$22.32
01-30 16:53Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.3099999947$37.69
01-30 16:47Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?SELL0.9603852229$37.70
01-30 05:33Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.32$1.63