0xf747c54df946e324fe4b5af7a404669eb79775bf
0xf747c54df946e324fe4b5af7a404669eb79775bf
- Realised P&L
- $0.87
- Volume
- $66.15
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $10.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 10? · No | 0.970 | 0.998 | $4.32 | +$0.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 10? · No | 0.940 | 1.000 | $2.23 | +$0.13 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $2.12 | +$0.02 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on October 10? · No | 0.990 | 0.998 | $2.12 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.52at 0.889Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7?
- +$0.13at 0.943Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?
- +$0.05at 0.976Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 1?
- +$0.05at 0.976Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 1?
- +$0.05at 0.975Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.939999991 | $2.10 |
| 10-10 00:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9699999954 | $2.10 |
| 10-10 00:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9699999954 | $2.10 |
| 10-10 00:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.10 |
| 10-09 23:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.10 |
| 10-09 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.10 |
| 10-08 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9739999944 | $2.10 |
| 10-08 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9899995899 | $2.10 |
| 10-07 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.80 |
| 10-07 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.10 |
| 10-07 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.10 |
| 10-07 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.10 |
| 10-06 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.9939999981 | $2.10 |
| 10-06 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.9939999981 | $2.10 |
| 10-06 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.939999991 | $2.10 |