PolyBot

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Traders

0xf747c54df946e324fe4b5af7a404669eb79775bf

0xf747c54df946e324fe4b5af7a404669eb79775bf

Realised P&L
$0.87
Volume
$66.15
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$10.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 10? · No0.9700.998$4.32+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 10? · No0.9401.000$2.23+$0.13
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10? · No0.9901.000$2.12+$0.02
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on October 10? · No0.9900.998$2.12+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 01:01Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 10?BUY0.939999991$2.10
10-10 00:50Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 10?BUY0.9699999954$2.10
10-10 00:50Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 10?BUY0.9699999954$2.10
10-10 00:50Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on October 10?BUY0.99$2.10
10-09 23:51Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10?BUY0.99$2.10
10-09 07:53Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 9?BUY0.984$2.10
10-08 19:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8?BUY0.9739999944$2.10
10-08 17:58Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 8?BUY0.9899995899$2.10
10-07 15:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?SELL0.85$1.80
10-07 14:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7?BUY0.99$2.10
10-07 14:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7?BUY0.8$2.10
10-07 14:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?BUY0.99$2.10
10-06 17:58Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 6?BUY0.9939999981$2.10
10-06 17:58Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 6?BUY0.9939999981$2.10
10-06 14:53Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?BUY0.939999991$2.10