0xf747b9468118636c9cfa605e9b68274cb9bdc1fa
0xf747b9468118636c9cfa605e9b68274cb9bdc1fa
- Realised P&L
- $6.78
- Volume
- $53.70
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $8.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.445 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.475 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.535 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.475 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.475 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-24? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.335 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.305 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.175 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.305 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.47at 0.195Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18?
- +$1.15at 0.480Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18?
- +$0.90at 0.543Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?
- +$0.53at 0.667Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$0.44at 0.708Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 14:24 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 10:01 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 09:09 | Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 09:08 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:32 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:31 | Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:31 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 18:57 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 18:55 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 18:20 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 18:20 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 15:22 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:27 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:26 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 20:43 | Will Valencia CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |