0xf74400123dd693620ada50b1eb3227a80e729a80
- Realised P&L
- $-33.08
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $30.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.22at 0.074Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$6.38at 0.451Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$4.90at 0.678Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$4.78at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$4.75at 0.764Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:45 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3739999708 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:45 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:44 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:27 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:57 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:56 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:54 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:51 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:46 | Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.9149999908 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:23 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:09 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:59 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:00 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 02:21 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9669992177 | $1.00 |