PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf742ed4AFeD7d55144C907152AbbCd8da36d400E-1782047789996

0xf742ed4afed7d55144c907152abbcd8da36d400e

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$91.5k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$60.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4? · No0.6601.000$30.48+$10.35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5? · Yes0.1000.105$24.12+$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5? · Yes0.0160.009$2.08$1.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4? · Yes0.0070.001$0.94$12.80
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 4? · Yes0.0190.001$0.52$19.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 4? · Yes0.0340.001$0.46$30.52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? · Yes0.0460.001$0.37$33.42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4? · Yes0.0420.001$0.31$25.48
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 4? · Yes0.0100.001$0.30$5.75
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 4? · Yes0.0440.001$0.28$24.33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? · Yes0.1380.001$0.28$77.16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? · No0.0600.002$0.16$6.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 4? · Yes0.0400.001$0.15$11.85
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 4? · Yes0.2400.001$0.09$40.98
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4? · Yes0.2190.001$0.05$22.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 06:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.0596506466$6.18
08-04 06:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.95$49.76
08-04 04:52Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.1933023256$20.78
08-04 04:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4?BUY0.0509791346$19.55
08-04 03:14Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.3197066392$18.64
08-04 03:09Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.2186143411$22.56
08-04 02:32Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.0573168378$3.68
08-04 02:31Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.0366612903$4.50
08-04 02:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.1658648339$8.69
08-04 02:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4?BUY0.0296$7.40
08-04 02:29Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4?BUY0.078$2.54
08-04 02:29Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4?BUY0.0749767557$6.06
08-04 02:29Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 4?BUY0.01$1.00
08-04 02:29Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.0177380952$3.72
08-04 02:28Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.66$20.13