987654321poiuytrewqq
0xf742ed4afed7d55144c907152abbcd8da36d400e
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $232.5k
- Markets traded
- 222
- Open portfolio
- $7.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded222
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.498Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?
- +$880.00at 0.050Will CSU forecast 9 or more named storms?
- +$772.61at 0.119Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?
- +$729.14at 0.481Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?
- +$629.82at 0.300Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0022244387 | $7.28 |
| 09-20 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.40 |
| 09-20 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.001 | $7.98 |
| 09-15 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.0423692418 | $3.56 |
| 09-12 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.0093657972 | $1.70 |
| 09-12 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.04 | $19.37 |
| 09-08 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 9? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.70 |
| 09-08 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 9? | BUY | 0.0889656599 | $17.20 |
| 09-08 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.0182649445 | $3.31 |
| 09-08 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.0707603073 | $4.51 |
| 09-07 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 7? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 09-07 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 7? | BUY | 0.0569471735 | $27.07 |
| 09-07 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on September 7? | BUY | 0.0476926017 | $16.47 |
| 09-02 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 2? | BUY | 0.9599999965 | $200.00 |
| 09-02 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.18 |