0xf742ed4AFeD7d55144C907152AbbCd8da36d400E-1782047789996
0xf742ed4afed7d55144c907152abbcd8da36d400e
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $91.5k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $60.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.097Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?
- +$1.8kat 0.067Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?
- +$880.00at 0.050Will CSU forecast 9 or more named storms?
- +$774.60at 0.471Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?
- +$629.83at 0.300Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0596506466 | $6.18 |
| 08-04 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.95 | $49.76 |
| 08-04 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1933023256 | $20.78 |
| 08-04 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0509791346 | $19.55 |
| 08-04 03:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3197066392 | $18.64 |
| 08-04 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2186143411 | $22.56 |
| 08-04 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0573168378 | $3.68 |
| 08-04 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0366612903 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1658648339 | $8.69 |
| 08-04 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0296 | $7.40 |
| 08-04 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.078 | $2.54 |
| 08-04 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0749767557 | $6.06 |
| 08-04 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0177380952 | $3.72 |
| 08-04 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.66 | $20.13 |