PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

987654321poiuytrewqq

0xf742ed4afed7d55144c907152abbcd8da36d400e

Realised P&L
$7.0k
Volume
$232.5k
Markets traded
222
Open portfolio
$7.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded222
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.0010.001$6.24$6.14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20? · Yes0.0020.001$1.14$3.92
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$77.44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 15? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$12.20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 23? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$6.06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 17? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$5.39
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 28? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$43.65
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 27? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$1.0k
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 4? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$12.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 18? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$6.55
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 27? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$1.0k
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 23? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$56.11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 17? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$4.32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$25.79
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 15? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 04:38Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.0022244387$7.28
09-20 04:35Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.001$3.40
09-20 04:34Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.001$7.98
09-15 00:09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 15?BUY0.0423692418$3.56
09-12 13:42Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 12?BUY0.0093657972$1.70
09-12 13:42Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?BUY0.04$19.37
09-08 17:03Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 9?BUY0.02$0.70
09-08 12:36Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 9?BUY0.0889656599$17.20
09-08 12:31Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on September 8?BUY0.0182649445$3.31
09-08 12:29Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 8?BUY0.0707603073$4.51
09-07 18:53Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 7?BUY0.27$8.10
09-07 18:06Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 7?BUY0.0569471735$27.07
09-07 18:05Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on September 7?BUY0.0476926017$16.47
09-02 18:15Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 2?BUY0.9599999965$200.00
09-02 14:52Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 3?BUY0.002$0.18