unbribeableref
0xf7429705e25b619338412967f0a70260b6e1e039
- Realised P&L
- $327.5k
- Volume
- $14.16M
- Markets traded
- 380
- Open portfolio
- $25.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded380
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.125 | $24.1k | −$49.00 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.045 | $900.00 | +$475.64 |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.021 | $365.18 | −$3.80 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.678 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.2k |
| FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.219 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$363.3kat 0.299Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$92.2kat 0.163Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$40.7kat 0.274Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$40.2kat 0.751Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
- +$38.1kat 0.456Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 17:08 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.0k |
| 10-25 08:17 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25? | SELL | 0.34 | $148.27 |
| 10-24 11:32 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.29 | $338.75 |
| 10-21 20:20 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.2k |
| 10-21 19:32 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.77 | $145.02 |
| 10-21 19:06 | FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.22 | $2.5k |
| 10-21 19:05 | FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.21 | $284.55 |
| 09-13 09:27 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.586 | $23.3k |
| 09-10 08:50 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.625 | $935.36 |
| 09-09 16:08 | US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.66 | $2.0k |
| 09-09 07:06 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.63 | $11.3k |
| 09-09 06:48 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | SELL | 0.59 | $13.2k |
| 09-09 05:46 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.38 | $6.5k |
| 09-08 10:40 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $630.00 |
| 09-06 22:31 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe | SELL | 0.2 | $387.64 |