PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Rivera05492

0xf741f6981fec0fb3127a82a647bd0f3c6f0703c9

Realised P&L
$-8.94
Volume
$164.4k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$8.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? · No0.9970.966$8.79$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 07:31Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30?BUY0.997$9.08
08-08 11:34Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?BUY0.9751608849$10.25
08-08 11:33Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.976$7.12
07-21 12:22Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9579999945$7.00
06-08 02:49Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?BUY0.96$2.92
06-08 02:49Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?SELL0.982$9.07
05-14 14:02Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?BUY0.9689999995$8.96
04-06 10:40Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?BUY0.9869999958$10.67
03-19 10:07Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9889999746$10.55
03-19 10:06Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?SELL0.996$10.55
02-23 10:58Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?BUY0.969999916$10.28
02-23 10:57Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?SELL0.977$10.28
02-02 05:57Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?BUY0.9529999885$10.03
01-13 04:48Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by January 31?BUY0.982$9.85
12-19 04:00US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?BUY0.9833890573$9.69