0xf73ba6d290272bd5d02e9b94050cd19c82ecc19e
- Realised P&L
- $-15.58
- Volume
- $535.67
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $3.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)5.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.115 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.011 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.115 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.030 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.010 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.005 | $0.08 | −$0.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.84at 0.131Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.00at 0.019Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
- +$-1.00at 0.028 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
- +$-1.00at 0.031Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
- +$-1.00at 0.068Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 05:34 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 05:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:41 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0649999408 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:41 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:36 | Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:34 | Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | BUY | 0.0644515298 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:34 | Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | BUY | 0.0519999513 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:33 | SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:32 | Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.0137795279 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:31 | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0679999383 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:31 | Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0309178744 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:30 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.02821009 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:29 | US x China tariff agreement by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:28 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:21 | XRP Up or Down - July 4, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.0817735089 | $1.00 |