0xf7382182b6cadeb5dea27535b5e5a27591e17a67
- Realised P&L
- $0.85
- Volume
- $329.23
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $5.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? · Down | 0.500 | 0.860 | $3.44 | +$1.44 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.500 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.217Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$4.61at 0.308S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:46 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 19:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 20:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 21:37 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 13:28 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 05:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 21:00 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 12:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 00:30 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.384999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 23:41 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 15:13 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 02:32 | Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 15:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |