Maurice333
0xf737bdea86624112448353cce1ed17947db8d49e
- Realised P&L
- $173.60
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $108.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.709 | 0.769 | $108.49 | +$8.49 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$126.75at 0.200Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$59.92at 0.182Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.09at 0.540Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 23:54 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7088355436 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 03:19 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.404 | $115.43 |
| 07-16 22:43 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.583 | $55.22 |
| 07-14 20:32 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5279079326 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 11:34 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1749999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 11:33 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2159999971 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 11:32 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.207 | $127.78 |
| 06-13 17:52 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 06-07 02:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1619999988 | $100.00 |
| 04-13 08:34 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4640622917 | $222.75 |
| 04-06 04:21 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $96.00 |