BafanaBafana
0xf72cb9e1ffe0e51da6e747555174cf81a7b9eeb7
- Realised P&L
- $-24.3k
- Volume
- $590.7k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$604.09at 0.727Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
- +$219.98at 0.901Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$216.59at 0.861France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$211.13at 0.810Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?
- +$198.24at 0.968Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 01:33 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | SELL | 0.0157989739 | $17.55 |
| 07-01 19:06 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $288.89 |
| 06-10 03:07 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.053 | $1.2k |
| 06-09 04:39 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.935 | $1.0k |
| 06-09 04:21 | Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.79 | $9.95 |
| 05-08 22:27 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.91 | $423.01 |
| 05-08 20:18 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.9608606435 | $555.00 |
| 05-08 20:07 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8298953284 | $555.00 |
| 04-10 17:30 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $455.10 |
| 04-08 22:50 | Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30? | BUY | 0.9366225166 | $140.53 |
| 04-08 22:45 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.87 | $119.68 |
| 04-03 14:42 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.0k |
| 04-03 14:38 | Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.1k |
| 04-03 14:31 | Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? | BUY | 0.86 | $92.88 |
| 03-27 02:08 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | BUY | 0.82 | $115.62 |