0xF72C40A2C1c7ff994cA1eeB75a910Eb6d14b2C87-1776783404684
0xf72c40a2c1c7ff994ca1eeb75a910eb6d14b2c87
- Realised P&L
- $-930.37
- Volume
- $78.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $6.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $6.17 | −$92.58 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.72 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.462Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$872.46at 0.101Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
- +$224.84at 0.471Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
- +$44.84at 0.340Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$28.39at 0.051Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 13:23 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $98.76 |
| 05-27 13:21 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0732194707 | $106.80 |
| 05-22 19:10 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0491701205 | $71.72 |
| 05-20 05:41 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | SELL | 0.0027724566 | $15.59 |
| 05-20 05:41 | Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | SELL | 0.0023456537 | $7.10 |
| 05-20 04:58 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | BUY | 0.0209913579 | $100.00 |
| 05-20 04:56 | Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | BUY | 0.0660375882 | $200.00 |
| 05-19 16:26 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | BUY | 0.682787843 | $450.00 |
| 05-19 16:25 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.066 | $458.33 |
| 05-19 14:15 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | BUY | 0.4988004796 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 14:06 | Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | SELL | 0.0521266229 | $94.15 |
| 05-19 07:48 | Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | BUY | 0.6282277778 | $300.00 |
| 05-18 19:06 | Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | BUY | 0.7526585311 | $1.0k |
| 05-14 07:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.3k |
| 05-13 23:57 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0719999999 | $500.00 |