PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF72C40A2C1c7ff994cA1eeB75a910Eb6d14b2C87-1776783404684

0xf72c40a2c1c7ff994ca1eeb75a910eb6d14b2c87

Realised P&L
$-930.37
Volume
$78.6k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$6.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.001$6.17−$92.58
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$499.72
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00−$800.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-27 13:23Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$98.76
05-27 13:21Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0732194707$106.80
05-22 19:10Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0491701205$71.72
05-20 05:41Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?SELL0.0027724566$15.59
05-20 05:41Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?SELL0.0023456537$7.10
05-20 04:58Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?BUY0.0209913579$100.00
05-20 04:56Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?BUY0.0660375882$200.00
05-19 16:26Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?BUY0.682787843$450.00
05-19 16:25Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.066$458.33
05-19 14:15Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?BUY0.4988004796$100.00
05-19 14:06Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?SELL0.0521266229$94.15
05-19 07:48Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?BUY0.6282277778$300.00
05-18 19:06Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?BUY0.7526585311$1.0k
05-14 07:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.67$1.3k
05-13 23:57Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0719999999$500.00