PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf727577432B8EE69D4936D035938Db42fE397186-1772010720598

0xf727577432b8ee69d4936d035938db42fe397186

Realised P&L
$40.63
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$88.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 08:08Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.0448862326$14.18
09-28 08:07Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.216$15.12
09-28 08:07Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.0401870557$22.27
09-28 08:06Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.216$23.76
09-28 07:48Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.2589719902$46.23
09-14 07:21Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0899999997$18.56
05-11 11:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?BUY0.0609999647$1.60
05-10 18:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
05-06 22:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?BUY0.0329999684$1.00
05-06 22:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?BUY0.1399999727$4.00
05-04 15:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?SELL0.18$13.85
05-04 11:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
05-04 08:27Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Moez EcharguiBUY0.06$3.00
05-04 08:22Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Marta LombardiniBUY0.1239999658$3.00
04-14 09:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?BUY0.007$0.86