0xf727577432B8EE69D4936D035938Db42fE397186-1772010720598
0xf727577432b8ee69d4936d035938db42fe397186
- Realised P&L
- $40.63
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $88.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.48at 0.029Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?
- +$13.27at 0.070Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?
- +$2.40at 0.138Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?
- +$1.07at 0.344Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$-1.18at 0.068Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:08 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.0448862326 | $14.18 |
| 09-28 08:07 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.216 | $15.12 |
| 09-28 08:07 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.0401870557 | $22.27 |
| 09-28 08:06 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.216 | $23.76 |
| 09-28 07:48 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2589719902 | $46.23 |
| 09-14 07:21 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0899999997 | $18.56 |
| 05-11 11:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? | BUY | 0.0609999647 | $1.60 |
| 05-10 18:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 22:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 22:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13? | BUY | 0.1399999727 | $4.00 |
| 05-04 15:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4? | SELL | 0.18 | $13.85 |
| 05-04 11:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 08:27 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Moez Echargui | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 05-04 08:22 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Marta Lombardini | BUY | 0.1239999658 | $3.00 |
| 04-14 09:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.86 |