0xf72702d7f5e1a38751ea6cd6509ba6ee0e065b58
0xf72702d7f5e1a38751ea6cd6509ba6ee0e065b58
- Realised P&L
- $-140.21
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $41.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.505 | $23.45 | +$2.09 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.605 | $18.41 | −$2.59 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.82 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down | 0.708 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Up | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? · No | 0.755 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.95at 0.051Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$13.19at 0.582Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
- +$10.95at 0.431Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$10.05at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
- +$9.97at 0.388Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.4599999961 | $21.36 |
| 10-04 21:23 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar | BUY | 0.8799999981 | $19.00 |
| 10-04 21:19 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? | BUY | 0.6901408446 | $21.00 |
| 10-04 19:19 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.91 | $26.44 |
| 10-04 19:02 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $25.00 |
| 10-04 09:50 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.96 | $33.68 |
| 10-04 06:52 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 21:23 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.7799999844 | $6.00 |
| 06-14 21:23 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.24 |
| 06-14 10:47 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7699999952 | $4.82 |
| 06-14 10:38 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2699999772 | $8.39 |
| 06-13 23:27 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | SELL | 0.36 | $8.73 |
| 06-13 21:12 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999901 | $14.31 |
| 06-13 21:06 | Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 06-13 20:41 | Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |