Alisonkoj
0xf72178f0b7f0a2ace807b578672f5f65c7857c75
- Realised P&L
- $-24.86
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $1.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 14-20? · No | 0.996 | 0.992 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Rockets vs. Magic · Magic | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.40 |
| Thunder vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.24at 0.754Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$1.19at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 29-July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 01:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 07:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.9989997661 | $2.43 |
| 06-15 03:51 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.05 |
| 05-25 06:21 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.50 |
| 05-25 06:05 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.994 | $2.49 |
| 05-25 03:31 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.50 |
| 04-22 06:03 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.38 |
| 04-03 05:57 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.52 |
| 04-03 05:31 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.04 |
| 03-13 07:39 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.05 |
| 02-26 02:28 | Rockets vs. Magic | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 01-15 09:20 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.3799999561 | $4.50 |
| 01-09 08:09 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.994 | $318.91 |
| 01-09 06:29 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.995 | $319.23 |
| 01-09 06:15 | Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $374.95 |