PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Guerrero777

0xf719a0cb1eb71e6f9a117ce8f57ae9d300a3f090

Realised P&L
$-156.09
Volume
$88.1k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$81.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.2800.803$80.30+$52.30
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1600.075$1.41$1.59
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.7100.003$0.06$14.85
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$2.00
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 05:23Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.16$3.00
06-10 05:21Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.077999966$2.00
06-10 05:20Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?BUY0.0229988927$2.00
05-14 15:54Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.027$2.70
05-06 04:39Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?BUY0.0477137089$5.00
04-27 18:14Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.41$12.30
03-17 20:38Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.037$4.07
02-09 18:22US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?BUY0.04$4.00
02-04 16:20Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.71$14.20
02-04 16:05Will Trump say “Little Communist” by February 28?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
01-08 18:42Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY0.5729999705$5.70
01-08 15:49Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?SELL0.04$0.21
12-29 18:53Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?SELL0.06$0.07
12-29 17:18Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY0.31$1.55
12-29 17:16Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?BUY0.1888198616$10.00