Guerrero777
0xf719a0cb1eb71e6f9a117ce8f57ae9d300a3f090
- Realised P&L
- $-156.09
- Volume
- $88.1k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $81.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.803 | $80.30 | +$52.30 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.075 | $1.41 | −$1.59 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.003 | $0.06 | −$14.85 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.17at 0.280Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$65.19at 0.880Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$14.50at 0.420Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?
- +$5.80at 0.710Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$4.80at 0.600Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 05:23 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 05:21 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.077999966 | $2.00 |
| 06-10 05:20 | Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30? | BUY | 0.0229988927 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 15:54 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.70 |
| 05-06 04:39 | Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? | BUY | 0.0477137089 | $5.00 |
| 04-27 18:14 | Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 03-17 20:38 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.037 | $4.07 |
| 02-09 18:22 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 02-04 16:20 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 02-04 16:05 | Will Trump say “Little Communist” by February 28? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 01-08 18:42 | Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.5729999705 | $5.70 |
| 01-08 15:49 | Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.21 |
| 12-29 18:53 | Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.07 |
| 12-29 17:18 | Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 12-29 17:16 | Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30? | BUY | 0.1888198616 | $10.00 |