Chudnik86
0xf717cecc8120bf8ecab364c70cef510f46dc51e2
- Realised P&L
- $-786.16
- Volume
- $51.7k
- Markets traded
- 361
- Open portfolio
- $119.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded361
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.34at 0.519Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$78.71at 0.915Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?
- +$69.55at 0.259Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1
- +$64.99at 0.706Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
- +$57.17at 0.426Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:20 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998693 | $1.35 |
| 10-02 22:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.977 | $1.37 |
| 10-02 22:17 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? | BUY | 0.7699999922 | $9.91 |
| 10-02 22:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $10.01 |
| 09-30 06:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.966999978 | $1.36 |
| 09-30 06:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.36 |
| 09-30 06:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099996942 | $1.96 |
| 09-30 06:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:36 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.5199999719 | $2.22 |
| 09-30 06:35 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | SELL | 0.983 | $3.17 |
| 09-30 06:35 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999736 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 06:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $18.00 |
| 09-30 06:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $24.08 |
| 09-17 22:12 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999992 | $5.06 |