Facaie
0xf70eb753810c0ccea22a6948ebc3a541f04981df
- Realised P&L
- $8.7k
- Volume
- $3.46M
- Markets traded
- 1,100
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,100
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.616Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?
- +$3.2kat 0.776Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?
- +$3.0kat 0.530Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?
- +$2.5kat 0.160Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 18?
- +$2.1kat 0.576Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.967 | $415.81 |
| 08-03 02:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 08-03 00:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.0k |
| 08-03 00:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.0k |
| 08-03 00:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $254.77 |
| 08-03 00:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $358.46 |
| 08-02 22:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 08-02 21:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.993 | $4.5k |
| 08-02 21:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.975 | $4.4k |
| 08-02 21:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $557.20 |
| 08-02 03:47 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 08-02 03:46 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 08-02 03:45 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $265.30 |
| 08-02 03:45 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $299.10 |
| 08-02 02:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.0k |