0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7
- Realised P&L
- $2.46M
- Volume
- $103.20M
- Markets traded
- 2,761
- Open portfolio
- $946.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,761
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.8kat 0.405Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
- +$103.7kat 0.355Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$91.3kat 0.486Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
- +$81.5kat 0.691Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$76.4kat 0.149Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:30 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in November? | BUY | 0.9648882965 | $3.6k |
| 11-01 21:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November? | BUY | 0.14 | $42.00 |
| 11-01 20:59 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in November? | BUY | 0.9649061915 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 20:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? | BUY | 0.27 | $203.45 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9393154574 | $595.53 |
| 11-01 20:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9392024291 | $695.95 |
| 11-01 20:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.945100953 | $786.08 |
| 11-01 20:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9510201164 | $385.77 |
| 11-01 20:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9529725526 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 20:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9530507683 | $286.42 |
| 11-01 20:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9580659091 | $843.10 |
| 11-01 20:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9529719872 | $270.25 |
| 11-01 20:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9536768261 | $576.88 |
| 11-01 20:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9518743902 | $614.65 |
| 11-01 20:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9569985707 | $770.24 |