PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x10328E21199d5049644Ba7b74C9263612240b7E2-1778606816362

0xf703648a1313336f98ed4d1518ab8cf538ddbb15

Realised P&L
$-915.79
Volume
$21.2k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$52.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.004$33.74$13.24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1600.151$9.37$0.51
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3500.255$8.12$3.03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0810.087$1.44+$0.11
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$98.21
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$8.61
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$29.18
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$28.76
Patriots vs. Broncos · Broncos0.3300.000$0.00$242.64
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00$427.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 08:04Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3499999984$11.15
09-14 08:53Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1596956034$9.88
08-28 02:22Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0062666822$46.99
08-05 03:37Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.0979999916$10.05
08-05 03:27Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.2409999915$19.13
06-03 19:13Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.1297723412$67.15
06-02 19:51Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.24$72.03
05-12 17:25Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.3099999995$288.72
01-25 22:41Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.0628790279$69.86
01-24 07:14Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.08$88.88
01-24 07:13Patriots vs. BroncosBUY0.3299999992$242.64
01-24 07:12Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.13$236.35
01-17 21:32Bills vs. BroncosBUY0.5399999974$59.04
01-15 16:39Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1$181.81
01-15 15:55Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.09$99.99