dggerg
0xf700e55f57971a4326ffe6b2aa12ab2ff83fe16c
- Realised P&L
- $-148.92
- Volume
- $18.4k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $5.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? · No | 0.370 | 0.255 | $5.10 | −$2.30 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.84 |
| Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-31? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.83 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.83 |
| Hurricanes vs. Capitals · Hurricanes | 0.798 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.75 |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
| Blackhawks vs. Wild · Blackhawks | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.78 |
| Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.83 |
| Flyers vs. Utah · Flyers | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.23 |
| Senators vs. Predators · Senators | 0.939 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.89 |
| Predators vs. Devils · Predators | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.80 |
| Spread: Broncos (-1.5) · Bills | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.83 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.97 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.34at 0.600Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?
- +$27.56at 0.630Hornets vs. Mavericks
- +$27.42at 0.626Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
- +$26.03at 0.650Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskies
- +$21.79at 0.690Spread: Rams (-3.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 02:57 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $3.99 |
| 06-11 02:57 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | SELL | 0.989 | $5.21 |
| 05-12 02:39 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9739999973 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 02:39 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY | 0.948 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 02:38 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.00 |
| 05-12 02:37 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 02-17 22:02 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.38 |
| 02-17 21:53 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.04 |
| 02-17 21:51 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | BUY | 0.82 | $1.97 |
| 02-17 21:44 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17? | BUY | 0.974 | $1.99 |
| 02-15 21:39 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.33 |
| 02-15 21:29 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15? | BUY | 0.857 | $2.00 |
| 02-15 17:31 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-15? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.04 |
| 02-15 17:28 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-15? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.00 |
| 02-15 16:25 | Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.06 |