0xf6fb1e474021987d73ab5Fb5EEE79d38b60CBF4c-1771470548418
0xf6fb1e474021987d73ab5fb5eee79d38b60cbf4c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $64.2k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No | 0.881 | 0.885 | $736.23 | +$3.23 |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes | 0.563 | 0.805 | $643.11 | +$193.11 |
| Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.928 | 0.935 | $100.73 | +$0.73 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$796.67 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$351.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$424.27at 0.828U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
- +$265.42at 0.540Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$197.50at 0.669France vs. England: O/U 2.5
- +$120.62at 0.700Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$87.81at 0.820Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 02:50 | Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | BUY | 0.8811134956 | $733.00 |
| 07-21 00:49 | Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9282492624 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 00:47 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31? | BUY | 0.9692601312 | $120.00 |
| 07-21 00:44 | Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.5632753838 | $450.00 |
| 07-19 20:50 | Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1607600228 | $42.30 |
| 07-19 01:44 | Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 01:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.8199999997 | $400.00 |
| 07-16 04:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.579 | $187.82 |
| 07-16 04:09 | France vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6694599128 | $400.00 |
| 07-15 20:20 | England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SELL | 0.83 | $450.86 |
| 07-15 16:19 | England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.8099999998 | $440.00 |
| 07-14 20:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5240751606 | $170.00 |
| 07-14 20:34 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.043 | $172.00 |
| 07-07 23:13 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $351.42 |
| 07-07 01:37 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.022 | $16.60 |