0xf6F9C3B1A2b7d2A80f1AFaC7f973bde35f0b0007-1759945992652
0xf6f9c3b1a2b7d2a80f1afac7f973bde35f0b0007
- Realised P&L
- $-15.1k
- Volume
- $534.6k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $9.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.391Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$1.4kat 0.281Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$416.13at 0.208Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$402.69at 0.547Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$107.01at 0.599Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:09 | SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.18 |
| 10-10 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 10-10 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 10-09 22:50 | SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 10-09 22:50 | SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.83 |
| 10-09 22:50 | SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.03 |
| 10-09 22:50 | SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.55 | $3.12 |
| 10-09 22:50 | SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.01 |
| 10-09 15:06 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.12 |
| 10-09 15:06 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 10-09 08:42 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-08 23:36 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 20:51 | SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 11:51 | AL Wakrah SC vs. Al Gharafa SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 10:35 | Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |