PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cyberkurajber

0xf6f79fb0b579918f101bb6d0a264a492ce9de0da

Realised P&L
$16.3k
Volume
$1.07M
Markets traded
4,061
Open portfolio
$28.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,061
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 22? · Yes0.6000.635$5.89+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 22? · Yes0.5701.000$5.00+$2.15
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 22? · Yes0.3100.470$4.70+$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 22? · Yes0.1000.120$3.50+$0.58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 22? · Yes0.4500.305$3.05$1.45
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0070.036$2.97+$2.39
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 22? · Yes0.2200.110$2.20$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 22? · Yes0.1500.065$0.65$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 22? · Yes0.0050.005$0.10+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22? · Yes0.7950.001$0.05$83.45
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22? · Yes0.2500.001$0.01$4.99
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.2000.001$0.01$3.99
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 22? · Yes0.3000.001$0.01$4.49
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 22? · Yes0.5500.001$0.00$5.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$22.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 16:46Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 22?BUY0.1$0.60
09-22 16:27Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 22?BUY0.22$4.40
09-21 11:25Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 21?BUY0.019$1.51
09-21 11:25Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on September 21?BUY0.0486363636$2.14
09-21 11:24Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 21?SELL0.0730783005$4.49
08-27 12:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?BUY0.7$3.50
08-18 17:43Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 18?BUY0.18$16.56
08-18 17:09Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 19?BUY0.16$14.24
08-18 14:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 19?BUY0.09$6.02
08-16 14:58Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 16?BUY0.1077295918$27.87
08-16 10:09Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?BUY0.05$10.25
08-16 01:22Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 16?BUY0.21$22.68
08-15 20:03Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 16?BUY0.17$16.67
08-15 11:23Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 15?BUY0.06$8.50
08-15 11:21Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?SELL0.1864676617$37.48