0x35c6D8658CE918AadB938F9a90DD3b45a4Daab40-1774876213873
0xf6efb581c5fc083efe5fa3b66ab626edeb612a0d
- Realised P&L
- $-58.79
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $107.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.150 | $107.11 | +$46.66 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.68 |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.06at 0.639Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 16:25 | Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.099 | $12.97 |
| 09-16 17:42 | Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.94 |
| 09-16 17:41 | Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 09-15 13:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $22.15 |
| 09-14 14:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $24.53 |
| 09-14 14:17 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.65 | $25.79 |
| 09-03 21:51 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.6299999922 | $25.00 |
| 09-03 21:45 | Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0793386332 | $10.00 |