PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF6E7BCE668792153b2745c7f55F96600B15CC275-1781468063763

0xf6e7bce668792153b2745c7f55f96600b15cc275

Realised P&L
$164.69
Volume
$38.5k
Markets traded
249
Open portfolio
$165.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded249
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 28? · Yes0.3200.270$58.09−$10.76
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 28? · Yes0.5200.395$53.32−$16.87
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 29? · Yes0.4200.475$52.84+$6.12
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 28? · Yes0.5100.007$0.98−$70.38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00−$30.70
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 10? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.69
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 21? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$3.30
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$21.60
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 28? · Yes0.3960.000$0.00−$5.43
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 27? · Yes0.3530.000$0.00−$93.83
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00−$11.94
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 22? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$1.41
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 14? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$8.54
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on July 22? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$0.77
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26? · Yes0.5090.000$0.00−$61.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:05Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 29?BUY0.42$46.72
09-26 15:23Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 26?BUY0.52$5.20
09-25 22:56Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 26?BUY0.54$4.32
09-25 22:51Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.509375$40.75
09-25 22:45Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.51$20.40
09-24 12:55Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 25?BUY0.44$11.88
09-24 11:39Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 25?BUY0.43$10.74
09-24 09:22Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.39$53.96
09-24 04:05Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?BUY0.4869862205$24.74
09-21 09:28Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 21?BUY0.309249$61.85
09-20 08:35Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 20?BUY0.47$56.45
09-19 07:07Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 19?BUY0.56$29.79
09-18 22:09Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 19?BUY0.39$21.45
09-18 22:02Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 19?BUY0.3875384615$25.19
08-31 10:41Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 31?BUY0.6719502868$7.03