0xF6E6d24E041D5cfFEd8Fc182f53e620d370F40Ae-1751716526297
0xf6e6d24e041d5cffed8fc182f53e620d370f40ae
- Realised P&L
- $-539.24
- Volume
- $75.7k
- Markets traded
- 279
- Open portfolio
- $4.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded279
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.187Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$463.88at 0.088Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$352.31at 0.362Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$153.84at 0.208US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$102.78at 0.243Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-01 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.8199998789 | $6.50 |
| 09-01 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.2599999416 | $2.94 |
| 08-25 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.38 |
| 08-02 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 08-02 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.62 |
| 08-01 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.37 |
| 08-01 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-01 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.36 |
| 07-31 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.09 |
| 07-31 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $3.79 |
| 07-31 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $2.10 |
| 07-30 21:42 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $4.20 |