33pls
0xf6dcbdb567c6ffd20c31822f76012e0b73cb246e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 387
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded387
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.0kat 0.483Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
- +$6.2kat 0.497Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
- +$4.4kat 0.452Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$3.3kat 0.660Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?
- +$2.8kat 0.529Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 14:25 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? | BUY | 0.63 | $206.68 |
| 09-03 17:04 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.63 | $29.02 |
| 08-31 05:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | SELL | 0.982 | $1.2k |
| 08-24 20:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.57 | $169.29 |
| 08-22 10:39 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August? | BUY | 0.573 | $24.07 |
| 08-21 08:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 08-21 06:37 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August? | BUY | 0.66 | $336.60 |
| 08-20 13:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? | BUY | 0.6692859258 | $203.39 |
| 08-06 20:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7 | $233.10 |
| 08-05 21:28 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.75 | $90.00 |
| 07-17 14:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.72 | $258.53 |
| 07-15 12:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.6128666667 | $367.72 |
| 07-14 15:55 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.21 | $252.00 |
| 07-02 17:44 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July? | BUY | 0.79 | $344.76 |
| 07-02 17:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.6 | $102.21 |