PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

33pls

0xf6dcbdb567c6ffd20c31822f76012e0b73cb246e

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$1.01M
Markets traded
366
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded366
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.575$1.4k$60.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5920.000$0.00$47.36
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July? · No0.5210.000$0.00$1.3k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.7930.000$0.00$2.4k
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5? · No0.6900.000$0.00$413.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.9440.000$0.00$6.9k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.8070.000$0.00$1.6k
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.2630.000$0.00$526.00
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5? · No0.8840.000$0.00$1.9k
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 June 29-July 5? · No0.5990.000$0.00$1.0k
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 July 13-19? · No0.2100.000$0.00$252.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · No0.9000.000$0.00$2.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 14:05Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?SELL0.72$258.53
07-15 12:59Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 13-19?BUY0.6128666667$367.72
07-14 15:55Will Ethereum reach $1,900 July 13-19?BUY0.21$252.00
07-02 17:44Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?BUY0.79$344.76
07-02 17:42Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.6$102.21
07-01 05:31Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?BUY0.69$71.84
06-20 18:20Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.68$67.99
06-20 16:47Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?BUY0.92$84.64
06-12 15:38Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?BUY0.79$79.00
06-12 14:09Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12?BUY0.945$236.25
06-08 19:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?BUY0.8$8.00
06-06 21:29US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?BUY0.959$85.35
06-06 21:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.91$1.4k
06-05 19:05US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.76$380.00
06-05 19:04US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.89$445.00