hannibal321
0xf6da21dd42f8322f5e22ef82f39bcb45cd6d9ac3
- Realised P&L
- $1.65
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $16.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.455 | $16.81 | +$0.55 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up | 0.154 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Down | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Down | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.41at 0.472Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$20.10at 0.642Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?
- +$16.12at 0.552Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?
- +$6.74at 0.602Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?
- +$6.42at 0.759Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 21:47 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.4399999935 | $16.26 |
| 09-17 14:59 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 20:30 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4299999939 | $21.00 |
| 09-07 08:53 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $30.00 |
| 09-06 13:09 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.1899999831 | $9.00 |
| 09-05 07:01 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.2099999878 | $13.05 |
| 08-31 16:23 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.6299999943 | $35.33 |
| 08-29 20:22 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.539999995 | $19.45 |
| 08-29 16:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $15.00 |
| 08-29 16:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $4.56 |
| 08-29 16:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $4.49 |
| 08-29 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 07:41 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 11:17 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |