genesisalken
0xf6d9bd8865f80fa70fc294c17b5f4ead1e9ce296
- Realised P&L
- $-261.47
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $110.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.88at 0.659US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
- +$46.48at 0.542Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30?
- +$32.27at 0.740Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?
- +$32.08at 0.759Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?
- +$24.20at 0.806Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 04:05 | Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $120.00 |
| 09-17 08:07 | Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30? | BUY | 0.5320588206 | $54.00 |
| 09-04 10:08 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 10:03 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $166.99 |
| 08-17 10:43 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8640234935 | $144.57 |
| 07-20 12:49 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.569999999 | $57.60 |
| 07-08 03:15 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? | BUY | 0.6000238728 | $103.00 |
| 06-19 21:57 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m? | BUY | 0.3053731283 | $33.00 |
| 06-19 21:57 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m? | BUY | 0.1299999928 | $14.00 |
| 06-19 21:57 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m? | BUY | 0.3699999945 | $40.00 |
| 06-09 15:41 | Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550? | BUY | 0.4399999847 | $15.00 |
| 06-09 15:40 | Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 15:40 | Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530? | BUY | 0.7472660995 | $41.00 |
| 06-09 15:39 | Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520? | BUY | 0.8043055166 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 08:15 | Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |