defbank
0xf6d0642148933ea5a0c5c9ad33c1c1b517e69391
- Realised P&L
- $-10.7k
- Volume
- $8.21M
- Markets traded
- 597
- Open portfolio
- $12.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded597
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.2kat 0.419Bucks vs. Bulls
- +$32.2kat 0.532England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$29.1kat 0.40976ers vs. Pelicans
- +$22.1kat 0.500Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.5kat 0.593Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:03 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.88 | $44.88 |
| 09-18 09:03 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.88 | $440.00 |
| 09-18 09:03 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 09-17 01:07 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.946 | $2.2k |
| 09-15 14:53 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.911 | $5.3k |
| 09-15 12:20 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.934 | $1.7k |
| 09-15 06:44 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.915 | $2.2k |
| 09-15 04:23 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.952 | $214.14 |
| 09-14 09:17 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.914 | $2.6k |
| 09-12 15:22 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.14 |
| 09-11 03:10 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $100.94 |
| 08-30 13:32 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.7k |
| 08-30 13:31 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.43 | $174.11 |
| 08-28 03:44 | Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.966 | $704.21 |
| 08-28 01:51 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.43 | $337.46 |