defbank
0xf6d0642148933ea5a0c5c9ad33c1c1b517e69391
- Realised P&L
- $-11.1k
- Volume
- $8.37M
- Markets traded
- 604
- Open portfolio
- $16.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded604
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.2kat 0.419Bucks vs. Bulls
- +$32.2kat 0.532England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$29.1kat 0.40976ers vs. Pelicans
- +$22.1kat 0.500Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.8kat 0.570Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:30 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.13 | $127.40 |
| 10-28 10:29 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.89 |
| 10-28 10:27 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.17 | $173.40 |
| 10-28 10:24 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.17 | $88.74 |
| 10-26 09:39 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $65.55 |
| 10-26 02:08 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.19 | $392.77 |
| 10-26 01:42 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.2 | $590.00 |
| 10-25 07:02 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.039 | $19.34 |
| 10-25 07:01 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.17 | $256.34 |
| 10-25 07:01 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.13 | $429.00 |
| 10-25 07:01 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.1 | $181.60 |
| 10-25 07:00 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.04 | $276.00 |
| 10-06 02:17 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 09-29 13:12 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.0k |
| 09-26 15:15 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.2 | $316.40 |