PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

defbank

0xf6d0642148933ea5a0c5c9ad33c1c1b517e69391

Realised P&L
$-11.1k
Volume
$8.37M
Markets traded
604
Open portfolio
$16.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded604
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2070.225$4.7k+$379.92
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2070.125$4.3k−$2.8k
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.6200.775$2.1k+$415.10
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.4700.285$1.7k−$1.1k
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.6280.305$1.4k−$1.5k
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.9650.976$1.1k+$12.07
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0260.042$456.50+$170.50
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.4700.565$336.23+$56.53
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.0400.064$179.20+$67.20
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9780.987$116.15+$1.06
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8600.980$5.88+$0.72
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4500.000$0.00−$5.8k
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$9.80
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total Corners · Over0.4240.000$0.00−$1.5k
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$11.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:30Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.13$127.40
10-28 10:29Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.17$2.89
10-28 10:27Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.17$173.40
10-28 10:24Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.17$88.74
10-26 09:39Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.95$65.55
10-26 02:08Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.19$392.77
10-26 01:42Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.2$590.00
10-25 07:02Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.039$19.34
10-25 07:01Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.17$256.34
10-25 07:01Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.13$429.00
10-25 07:01Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.1$181.60
10-25 07:00Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.04$276.00
10-06 02:17Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$5.16
09-29 13:12Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.21$4.0k
09-26 15:15Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.2$316.40