PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

defbank

0xf6d0642148933ea5a0c5c9ad33c1c1b517e69391

Realised P&L
$-10.7k
Volume
$8.21M
Markets traded
597
Open portfolio
$12.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded597
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.205$4.1k+$101.00
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.6280.445$2.1k$855.87
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.6200.715$1.9k+$254.42
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.4700.325$1.9k$844.96
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · No0.9630.865$1.1k$124.25
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9000.885$357.67$6.06
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.4700.545$324.33+$44.63
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0700.045$310.50$172.50
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0260.018$203.50$82.50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.125$188.49$22.62
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1320.115$43.10$6.51
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4500.000$0.00$5.8k
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$9.80
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total Corners · Over0.4240.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00$13.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:03Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.88$44.88
09-18 09:03Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.88$440.00
09-18 09:03Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.88$880.00
09-17 01:07Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.946$2.2k
09-15 14:53Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.911$5.3k
09-15 12:20Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.934$1.7k
09-15 06:44Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.915$2.2k
09-15 04:23Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.952$214.14
09-14 09:17Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.914$2.6k
09-12 15:22Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.14$14.14
09-11 03:10Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.14$100.94
08-30 13:32Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.62$1.7k
08-30 13:31Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.43$174.11
08-28 03:44Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?BUY0.966$704.21
08-28 01:51Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.43$337.46