PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

20micmic

0xf6ce756199089cee8edeff41a51a1c8f11e14aa3

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$48.7k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$2.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Government shutdown by October 1? · Yes0.7900.007$2.33$243.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 03:31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.581999998$100.00
07-15 03:30Government shutdown by October 1?BUY0.79$245.78
03-14 19:54Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto RicoBUY0.2399999856$10.00
03-14 19:53Final Stage: Japan vs. VenezuelaBUY0.6299999982$50.00
03-12 00:21First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. ItalyBUY0.84$210.00
03-04 14:30Spread: Thunder (-4.5)BUY0.5299999983$100.00
03-03 16:00Will Trump say "Nuclear" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY0.1801692439$100.00
03-03 15:13Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)BUY0.4$100.00
03-01 00:17Trump out as President before GTA VI?BUY0.4875705331$500.00
02-26 01:03Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?BUY0.8379999997$200.00
02-26 01:02Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?BUY0.3399999912$20.00
02-23 15:13US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?BUY0.9652082611$551.74
02-23 15:13US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?BUY0.986$500.00
02-23 15:11US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?BUY0.3499999982$110.00
02-21 15:53US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?BUY0.9739999984$508.13