0xf6cba3b4d166948edbaa9e3f4c5aa7ef1fd473e2
- Realised P&L
- $-58.11
- Volume
- $150.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $126.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.920 | $66.92 | +$5.09 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $60.00 | −$140.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.60at 0.005Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$13.63at 0.886Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?
- +$8.42at 0.009Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$5.00at 0.950US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$4.10at 0.982Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 00:46 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $196.71 |
| 04-27 07:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999993 | $61.83 |
| 02-26 08:49 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.988 | $162.66 |
| 02-20 07:29 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $75.80 |
| 02-20 07:28 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.759 | $12.39 |
| 02-20 07:28 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.976 | $53.68 |
| 02-12 12:02 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $8.47 |
| 12-09 01:29 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.9819999995 | $223.82 |
| 11-17 03:52 | Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November? | BUY | 0.989 | $215.61 |
| 10-28 14:26 | US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 10-28 14:23 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October? | BUY | 0.88 | $40.03 |
| 10-28 14:14 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October? | BUY | 0.89 | $66.12 |