PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

htwasb

0xf6cb84886ec3b65c8d04d1bb22a75f9acca99c0a

Realised P&L
$233.40
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$30.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · No0.6000.595$14.88$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? · Yes0.5300.635$2.40+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.0800.075$1.88$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.4100.340$1.66$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18? · Yes0.1950.135$1.39$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 18? · Yes0.0050.003$1.26$0.74
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 18? · Yes0.0510.030$1.17$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 18? · Yes0.0120.006$1.01$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 18? · Yes0.0030.002$0.87$1.13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.0300.010$0.67$1.33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.0050.002$0.62$1.38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on September 18? · Yes0.0020.001$0.53$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 18? · Yes0.0060.002$0.50$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 18? · Yes0.0450.005$0.49$3.51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or below on September 18? · Yes0.0020.001$0.43$1.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:20Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.6$15.00
09-17 12:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-17 12:06Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or below on September 18?BUY0.0023437866$2.00
09-17 12:06Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.0035355428$2.00
09-17 12:06Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 18?BUY0.0047709924$2.00
09-17 12:05Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 18?BUY0.01182228$2.00
09-17 12:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on September 18?BUY0.0018793107$2.00
09-17 12:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.0032487046$2.00
09-17 12:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 18?BUY0.007$2.00
09-17 12:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.0451375567$4.00
09-17 12:03Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.4099999816$2.00
09-17 12:03Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.5299999868$2.00
09-17 12:03Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.08$2.00
09-17 12:03Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.0299999999$2.00
09-17 12:02Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or below on September 18?BUY0.0025582399$2.00