0xf6C4D6B5b71Ec31daD97CF20279C91FAE424eF8E-1767886056782
0xf6c4d6b5b71ec31dad97cf20279c91fae424ef8e
- Realised P&L
- $-71.73
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $62.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.098 | $53.26 | +$3.26 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.840 | 0.800 | $9.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.16 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.46at 0.049Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$48.14at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.80at 0.381Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$1.31at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$-8.90at 0.309Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 22:32 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0919999985 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 09:25 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0339999995 | $60.16 |
| 07-05 21:58 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.032 | $63.77 |
| 06-30 20:24 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0279999995 | $55.80 |
| 06-16 23:13 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.0220008172 | $59.76 |
| 05-31 17:42 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.0511262639 | $40.00 |
| 05-31 16:55 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.0517040114 | $100.00 |
| 05-09 07:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 07:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 07:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $6.10 |
| 05-09 07:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 05-09 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $25.00 |
| 05-09 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 07:19 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.41 | $96.40 |