mengke
0xf6c01daf6c4829d13200cc5c3d429c0438cc38b8
- Realised P&L
- $-263.87
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $25.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.00at 0.260CD Unión La Calera vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
- +$54.67at 0.780Brazil vs. France: O/U 1.5
- +$53.27at 0.820Will Honduras win on 2026-03-31?
- +$50.32at 0.803Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?
- +$42.81at 0.800Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 05:02 | Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24? | BUY | 0.14 | $37.01 |
| 04-13 06:48 | Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5) | BUY | 0.18 | $127.01 |
| 03-12 04:12 | CD Unión La Calera vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $79.05 |
| 03-07 05:34 | Will MOUZ win PGL Wallachia Season 7? | BUY | 0.06 | $14.36 |
| 02-21 08:28 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be less than 2,000,000? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.01 |
| 02-20 11:57 | Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20? | BUY | 0.098 | $17.29 |
| 02-19 06:48 | Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 16 above $285? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.81 |
| 02-16 09:37 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,000,000 and 15,500,000? | BUY | 0.024 | $5.52 |
| 02-15 21:27 | Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.36 |
| 02-09 04:47 | Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut Huskies (W) | BUY | 0.022 | $3.93 |
| 01-26 05:11 | Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.19 | $14.98 |
| 01-19 04:30 | Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December? | BUY | 0.058 | $9.93 |
| 01-19 03:38 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23? | BUY | 0.042 | $7.15 |
| 01-18 11:46 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 19 above $155? | BUY | 0.048 | $6.08 |
| 01-02 17:01 | Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards? | BUY | 0.032 | $4.20 |