PolyBot

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Traders

mengke

0xf6c01daf6c4829d13200cc5c3d429c0438cc38b8

Realised P&L
$-263.87
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$25.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 15? · Yes0.9680.877$25.37−$2.63
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be less than 2,000,000? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$2.01
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$2.89
Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut Huskies (W) · Creighton Bluejays0.0220.000$0.00−$3.93
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$16.37
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$9.93
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$37.01
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 16 above $285? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.81
Will Meta (META) close at <$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$2.31
Will a dozen eggs cost >$4.25 in November? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.16
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$7.15
Will Gian van Veen win the PDC World Darts Championship? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00−$42.51
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 22 above $220? · No0.0230.000$0.00−$2.83
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.18
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$17.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-20 05:02Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?BUY0.14$37.01
04-13 06:48Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)BUY0.18$127.01
03-12 04:12CD Unión La Calera vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.26$79.05
03-07 05:34Will MOUZ win PGL Wallachia Season 7? BUY0.06$14.36
02-21 08:28Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be less than 2,000,000?BUY0.019$2.01
02-20 11:57Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?BUY0.098$17.29
02-19 06:48Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 16 above $285?BUY0.015$1.81
02-16 09:37Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,000,000 and 15,500,000?BUY0.024$5.52
02-15 21:27Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?BUY0.012$3.36
02-09 04:47Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)BUY0.022$3.93
01-26 05:11Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?BUY0.19$14.98
01-19 04:30Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?BUY0.058$9.93
01-19 03:38Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?BUY0.042$7.15
01-18 11:46Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 19 above $155?BUY0.048$6.08
01-02 17:01Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?BUY0.032$4.20