0xf6a795fac5b67d0291cdec361d545d7e8fee7238
0xf6a795fac5b67d0291cdec361d545d7e8fee7238
- Realised P&L
- $-21.62
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $9.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.75at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 26?
- +$0.45at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 26?
- +$0.29at 0.779Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 25?
- +$0.27at 0.788Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 26?
- +$0.26at 0.779Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on October 4? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.50 |
| 10-04 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.0919999934 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.0721130063 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 03:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.0709999952 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or below on October 5? | SELL | 0.0023821129 | $0.22 |
| 10-04 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or below on October 5? | BUY | 0.01088 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or below on October 5? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.18 |
| 10-04 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or below on October 5? | BUY | 0.0162985902 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.72 |
| 10-03 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on October 4? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.24 |
| 10-03 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.0167326676 | $1.00 |