Fire25-
0xf6a4652968e64968b1141422b20a2bccc1d7f692
- Realised P&L
- $-119.46
- Volume
- $140.9k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $454.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$319.67at 0.290Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$212.57at 0.144Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
- +$176.68at 0.322Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$160.00at 0.248Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$89.10at 0.627Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:05 | Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.20 |
| 09-16 09:59 | Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | BUY | 0.72 | $37.44 |
| 09-10 01:15 | Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5323333333 | $79.85 |
| 09-10 01:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.537 | $107.40 |
| 09-07 15:07 | Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | BUY | 0.2480567686 | $42.04 |
| 09-07 15:05 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.36974567 | $145.38 |
| 09-07 15:04 | Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | BUY | 0.1318118841 | $13.51 |
| 09-07 14:59 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.986 | $59.62 |
| 09-07 14:48 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.52 | $104.41 |
| 06-30 09:51 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $50.00 |
| 06-29 12:26 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0297950986 | $70.00 |
| 06-26 16:10 | Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 06-10 18:02 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.3299999959 | $30.00 |
| 06-08 21:14 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.132 | $157.29 |
| 06-08 17:30 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2229999959 | $30.00 |