0xf697aeD96e72954E1588f91fA8352e1116eBc72c-1779232595460
0xf697aed96e72954e1588f91fa8352e1116ebc72c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $140.3k
- Markets traded
- 847
- Open portfolio
- $314.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded847
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.34at 0.667Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
- +$167.00at 0.546Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?
- +$149.76at 0.655Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$135.82at 0.818Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?
- +$135.63at 0.081Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:47 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? | BUY | 0.9341182945 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 22:47 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? | SELL | 0.9860399689 | $202.79 |
| 11-01 06:40 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? | BUY | 0.8995137763 | $185.00 |
| 11-01 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.92 |
| 11-01 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6534653381 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.7099999931 | $29.00 |
| 11-01 00:31 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $181.65 |
| 10-31 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.9978480562 | $100.87 |
| 10-31 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.8387382746 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $100.47 |
| 10-31 21:44 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.9584026618 | $60.00 |
| 10-31 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.9693876992 | $60.21 |
| 10-31 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.9498729746 | $59.00 |
| 10-31 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.9892550872 | $200.00 |
| 10-31 17:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.9950162308 | $22.07 |