PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf697aeD96e72954E1588f91fA8352e1116eBc72c-1779232595460

0xf697aed96e72954e1588f91fa8352e1116ebc72c

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$140.3k
Markets traded
847
Open portfolio
$314.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded847
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? · Yes0.9340.819$175.25−$24.75
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m? · Yes0.4400.612$139.21+$39.21
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 27? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Down0.8600.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up0.8090.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Panthers vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes0.5500.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Down0.7600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 28? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Down0.0490.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 28? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Down0.9000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:47Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?BUY0.9341182945$200.00
11-01 22:47Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?SELL0.9860399689$202.79
11-01 06:40Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?BUY0.8995137763$185.00
11-01 06:29Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 1?SELL0.03$0.92
11-01 05:13Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 1?BUY0.6534653381$20.00
11-01 02:14Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?BUY0.7099999931$29.00
11-01 00:31Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?SELL0.999$181.65
10-31 22:49Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?SELL0.9978480562$100.87
10-31 22:31Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?BUY0.8387382746$100.00
10-31 22:30Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?SELL0.994$100.47
10-31 21:44Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?BUY0.9584026618$60.00
10-31 21:12Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 31?SELL0.9693876992$60.21
10-31 20:49Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 31?BUY0.9498729746$59.00
10-31 20:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?BUY0.9892550872$200.00
10-31 17:29Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?SELL0.9950162308$22.07