Gamechanger786
0xf693d8b14aaf959990a04cc880cfaa7778fab473
- Realised P&L
- $786.81
- Volume
- $34.6k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $278.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-10-19? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.595 | $277.97 | +$11.68 |
| Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.637 | 0.001 | $0.54 | −$685.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.48at 0.622Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?
- +$125.13at 0.761Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-17?
- +$100.18at 0.870Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19?
- +$96.52at 0.753Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$92.47at 0.515Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 21:12 | Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.5699999995 | $266.29 |
| 10-19 20:59 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $158.57 |
| 10-19 20:55 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $115.82 |
| 10-19 19:49 | Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6368562126 | $686.52 |
| 10-19 18:18 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-19 17:06 | Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $809.43 |
| 10-19 16:40 | Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $696.81 |
| 10-19 01:29 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.6899999999 | $80.00 |
| 10-19 01:25 | Will Club Guabirá vs. CD Oriente Petrolero end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $72.78 |
| 10-19 01:12 | Will Club Guabirá vs. CD Oriente Petrolero end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $50.00 |
| 10-19 00:36 | Will Clube do Remo vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $147.76 |
| 10-19 00:23 | Will Clube do Remo vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 20:46 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $379.36 |
| 10-18 18:28 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $300.00 |
| 10-18 18:26 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $650.92 |