bgtdasd
0xf693273043f63680e7de08a7e958ff8ef14dec6d
- Realised P&L
- $-218.25
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $117.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)17.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.810 | $30.78 | −$0.38 |
| Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.615 | $30.75 | −$12.75 |
| Will Catena launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.345 | $17.25 | −$26.25 |
| Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.305 | $15.25 | −$28.25 |
| Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.225 | $11.25 | −$20.25 |
| Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.160 | $8.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.045 | $2.25 | −$11.25 |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.420 | 0.043 | $2.13 | −$18.88 |
| Will Syria sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.50at 0.620Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
- +$1.00at 0.380Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.00at 0.460Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?
- +$0.93at 0.300Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?
- +$0.50at 0.890Will Jordan be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 07:43 | Will Ozuna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 06-26 03:19 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $21B by June 30? | SELL | 0.0028 | $0.14 |
| 06-26 03:10 | Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.47 | $23.50 |
| 06-26 03:09 | Will the announcers say "Dominant" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 06-26 03:09 | Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 06-26 03:05 | Will the Republican Party win the NV-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 06-25 03:44 | Will Netherlands be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 06-24 23:16 | Will Colombia be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 06-24 23:15 | Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.424 | $21.20 |
| 06-24 14:13 | Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 06-23 13:33 | Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 06-23 13:33 | Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.65 | $32.50 |
| 06-23 03:34 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.75 |
| 06-22 07:15 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $8.83 |
| 06-22 04:02 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.44 |