0xF69007F33b3Fb26D0C5f6b40f686DD7C87f3f2F3-1759356823791
0xf69007f33b3fb26d0c5f6b40f686dd7c87f3f2f3
- Realised P&L
- $-15.06
- Volume
- $667.02
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $5.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.500 | $2.50 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.300 | $1.50 | +$0.10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.240 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.140 | $0.70 | −$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.68at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19?
- +$1.75at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 16?
- +$0.49at 0.371Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 15?
- +$0.25at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 20?
- +$0.15at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 21:17 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 06-21 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 06-21 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 21? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 06-20 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 21? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 06-20 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 06-20 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 20? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.96 |
| 06-19 23:34 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 20? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.25 |
| 06-19 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 06-19 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 20? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.24 |
| 06-18 21:47 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on June 19? | BUY | 0.1479999426 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 15? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 06-15 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 15? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.19 |
| 06-15 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 16? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |