0xf6857Eba0C9Bce4BA4A0a7BC800Cc7d7a1C95eC9-1756053606885
0xf6857eba0c9bce4ba4a0a7bc800cc7d7a1c95ec9
- Realised P&L
- $-831.17
- Volume
- $395.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,525
- Open portfolio
- $1.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,525
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.91at 0.306Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 13?
- +$82.13at 0.186Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 21?
- +$62.85at 0.589Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13?
- +$62.79at 0.541Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?
- +$53.37at 0.641Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.997 | $101.73 |
| 09-25 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9899999903 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.998 | $104.16 |
| 09-24 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9580838323 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 09:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.991 | $100.10 |
| 09-23 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.988019998 | $99.80 |
| 09-22 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9895891974 | $26.02 |
| 09-22 12:45 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $201.82 |
| 09-22 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $101.94 |
| 09-22 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9799999935 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.99 | $68.21 |
| 09-21 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.6097549202 | $65.68 |
| 09-21 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.7099999769 | $8.00 |